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Experiment 1 Western Winds Treasure Chest and Western Winds Hero's Treasure Chest

Discussion in 'Latest Experiments' started by Yumi, May 29, 2013.

  1. Yumi

    Yumi Innova Group

    Joined:
    15.10.12
    Messages:
    257
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    tags: [chests]

    new raid boss, classes, new update:
    we greet you, lindvior!
    the chests of western winds await
    the ones who win the war.
    what is inside? reward is good.
    it’s great, to be precise.
    we tested it, so that you could
    know it for sure, guys.​


    task: to find out the chances of acquiring different items from [​IMG]western winds treasure chest and [​IMG]western winds hero's treasure chest.

    experiment: the experiments consisted of two stages. during the first stage 10k [​IMG]western winds hero's treasure chest were opened. the second stage consisted in opening 10k [​IMG]western winds treasure chest.

    stage 1

    while opening [​IMG]western winds hero's treasure chest there is a chance of getting one of the 11 items:


    {tbody}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tbody}
    [​IMG]western winds hero's treasure chest10k100%[​IMG]western winds mysterious shot pack 277227,72%[​IMG]western winds top-grade life stone pack204420,44%[​IMG]western winds hero's attribute crystal pack118711,87%[​IMG]western winds reputation pack8848,84%[​IMG]western winds hero's unbind scroll pack7027,02%[​IMG]western winds pk pack6386,38%[​IMG]western winds hero's enchant stone pack6246,24%[​IMG]western winds kaliel's energy box5205,20%[​IMG]western winds hero's giant enchant scroll pack3153,15%[​IMG]western winds hero's blessed enchant scroll pack 3073,07%[​IMG]western winds soul bottle pack70,07%
    the table shows that the chance of getting the most valuable reward (western winds soul bottle pack) is 0,07%.

    then i opened all the reward boxes and all in all got the following items:

    {tbody}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{td}[​IMG]{/td}
    {td}event dark stone (+ 150){/td}
    {td}12{/td}
    {td}0,12%{/td}{/tbody}{tr}
    {td}[​IMG]{/td}
    {td}event earth stone (+ 150){/td}
    {td}9{/td}
    {td}0,09%{/td}{/tbody}{tr}
    {td}[​IMG]{/td}
    {td}bottle of antharas' soul{/td}
    {td}5{/td}
    {td}0,05%{/td}{/tbody}{tr}
    {td}[​IMG]{/td}
    {td}event scroll: reputation (top-grade){/td}
    {td}4{/td}
    {td}0,04%{/td}{/tbody}{tr}
    {td}[​IMG]{/td}
    {td}giant's scroll: enchant weapon (s-grade){/td}
    {td}4{/td}
    {td}0,04%{/td}{/tbody}{tr}
    {td}[​IMG]{/td}
    {td}bottle of valakas' soul {/td}
    {td}2{/td}
    {td}0,02%{/td}{/tbody}{tr}
    {td}[​IMG]{/td}
    {td}life stone instilled with giants' power {/td}
    {td}1{/td}
    {td}0,01%{/td}{/tbody}{tr}
    {td}{/td}
    {td}total{/td}
    {td}10000{/td}
    {td}100%{/td}{/tbody}{/tbody}{/td}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tbody}
    [​IMG]western winds hero's treasure chest10k100%[​IMG]event mysterious soulshot (r-grade) (10k pack)146314,63%[​IMG]event mysterious spiritshot (r-grade) (3k pack)130913,09%[​IMG]top-grade life stone (r95-grade)114611,46%[​IMG]top-grade life stone (r99-grade)8978,97%[​IMG]event scroll: reputation (low-grade)7247,24%[​IMG]annihilation kaliel's energy4454,45%[​IMG]unbind scroll: armor (r-grade)3863,86%[​IMG]lucky enchant stone: armor (r-grade)3833,83%[​IMG]event scroll: pk (low-grade)3823,82%[​IMG]blessed scroll: enchant armor (r-grade)2042,04%[​IMG]giant's scroll: enchant armor (r-grade)1761,76%[​IMG]earth crystal1761,76%[​IMG]fire crystal1751,75%[​IMG]lucky enchant stone: armor (s-grade)1591,59%[​IMG]water crystal1581,58%[​IMG]dark crystal1581,58%[​IMG]holy crystal 1441,44%[​IMG]wind crystal1421,42%[​IMG]event scroll: reputation (mid-grade)1381,38%[​IMG]unbind scroll: armor (r95-grade)1321,32%[​IMG]event scroll: pk (mid-grade)1301,30%[​IMG]giant's scroll: enchant armor (s-grade)980,98%[​IMG]event scroll: pk (high-grade)800,80%[​IMG]unbind scroll: weapon (r-grade)790,79%[​IMG]unbind scroll: armor (r99-grade)700,70%[​IMG]blessed scroll: enchant armor (s-grade)630,63%[​IMG]lucky enchant stone: weapon (r-grade)520,52%[​IMG]hellfire kaliel's energy470,47%[​IMG]event scroll: pk (top-grade) 460,46%[​IMG]giant's scroll: enchant weapon (r-grade)370,37%[​IMG]event dark stone (+ 60)330,33%[​IMG]event water stone (+ 60)310,31%[​IMG]lucky enchant stone: weapon (s-grade)300,30%[​IMG]event earth stone (+ 60)280,28%[​IMG]desire kaliel's energy280,28%[​IMG]blessed scroll: enchant weapon (r-grade)270,27%[​IMG]event fire stone (+ 60)250,25%[​IMG]event wind stone (+ 60)250,25%[​IMG]unbind scroll: weapon (r95-grade)210,21%[​IMG]event holy stone (+ 60) 190,19%[​IMG]event scroll: reputation (high-grade)180,18%[​IMG]event fire stone (+ 150)160,16%[​IMG]unbind scroll: weapon (r99-grade)140,14%[​IMG]blessed scroll: enchant weapon (s-grade)130,13%[​IMG]event wind stone (+ 150)120,12%[​IMG]event holy stone (+ 150)120,12%[​IMG]event water stone (+ 150)120,12%
    conclusion: in spite of the fact that the chance of getting a western winds top-grade life stone pack is about 20%, the chance of getting life stone instilled with giants' power is less than 1%.

    stage 2

    in the second part of my experiment i opened [​IMG]western winds treasure chest. the chances of getting rewards from them are represented in the tables below:

    {tbody}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tbody}
    [​IMG]western winds treasure chest10k100%[​IMG]western winds ingredient box610661,06%[​IMG]western winds attribute stone pack371137,11%[​IMG]western winds enchant scroll pack1361,36%[​IMG]western winds hair accessory pack460,46%[​IMG]western winds pendant pack10,01%
    as you can see from the table the chances of getting the rarest pack (western winds pendant pack) is about 0,01%.

    like in the first part of this experiment all the packs were opened. the items acquired are listed below:

    {tbody}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tr}{/tbody}
    [​IMG]western winds treasure chest10000100%[​IMG]accessory gem264726,47%[​IMG]weapon fragment 8348,34%[​IMG]armor fragment7867,86%[​IMG]greater cokes6856,85%[​IMG]water stone5925,92%[​IMG]holy stone5855,85%[​IMG]wind stone5525,52%[​IMG]earth stone5325,32%[​IMG]fire stone5265,26%[​IMG]dark stone5085,08%[​IMG]accessory gem (mid-grade) 4984,98%[​IMG]weapon fragment (mid-grade)1561,56%[​IMG]energy of destruction1561,56%[​IMG]synthetic cokes1291,29%[​IMG]armor fragment (mid-grade)1251,25%[​IMG]holy crystal880,88%[​IMG]scroll: enchant armor (s-grade)820,82%[​IMG]water crystal700,7%[​IMG]dark crystal680,68%[​IMG]fire crystal670,67%[​IMG]earth crystal630,63%[​IMG]wind crystal590,59%[​IMG]accessory gem (high-grade)370,37%[​IMG]scroll: enchant armor (r-grade)310,31%[​IMG]weapon fragment (high-grade)260,26%[​IMG]armor fragment (high-grade)170,17%[​IMG]greater synthetic cokes130,13%[​IMG]raccoon ears100,1%[​IMG]scroll: enchant weapon (s-grade)70,07%[​IMG]blessed scroll: enchant armor (s-grade)70,07%[​IMG]cat ears60,06%[​IMG]pirate's eyepatch60,06%[​IMG]eyepatch50,05%[​IMG]blessed scroll: enchant armor (r-grade)50,05%[​IMG]rabbit ears40,04%[​IMG]angel circlet - p. def. pendant 30,03%[​IMG]romantic chapeau20,02%[​IMG]refined angel ring20,02%[​IMG]outlaw's eyepatch20,02%[​IMG]demon circlet - p. atk. pendant20,02%[​IMG]refined devil horn20,02%[​IMG]scroll: enchant weapon (r-grade)20,02%[​IMG]blessed scroll: enchant weapon (s-grade)20,02%[​IMG]accuracy pendant10,01%
    conclusion: the most frequent reward here is accessory gem (~26%) and the most rare - accuracy pendant.
     
    Last edited by a moderator: May 29, 2015